Kaichi Uchida vs Sora Fukuda Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

In analyzing the upcoming match between Uchida and Fukuda, a close examination of recent statistics provides a clear picture of each player's strengths and weaknesses. During the last six months, Uchida has demonstrated slightly superior performance on their second serve, securing 43.9% of points compared to Fukuda's 41.86%. This metric, significant for predicting match outcomes, indicates a marginal advantage for Uchida in this particular aspect.

Equally critical are the return game stats, where Fukuda edges out Uchida, having won 48.41% of their opponent's second serve points, whereas Uchida stands at 46.27%. Moreover, when it comes to returning first serves, Fukuda also shows a distinct advantage with a success rate of 29.12% versus Uchida's 23.73%. This performance trend could play a pivotal role in determining the match's favorite.

When evaluating pressure situations, Uchida has displayed a slight edge, having saved 53.93% of breakpoints recently compared to Fukuda's 53.23%. Nevertheless, Fukuda holds an upper hand in converting break point opportunities, standing at 33.33% compared to Uchida's 26.67%, a vital metric that could influence live betting predictions.

In terms of overall match performance, Uchida claims a higher win rate of 60% (42/28) over the past year in comparison to Fukuda's 57.14% (12/9). Both players exhibit their strongest court performances on clay surfaces, although Fukuda surpasses with a win percentage of 69% against Uchida's 57%. However, Uchida struggles more on hard surfaces, with a win rate of 49%, while Fukuda presents a 58% success rate on indoor hard courts.

Furthermore, Uchida has historically been victorious in their direct encounters, having won the single match they have faced each other prior, with one deciding set going in Uchida's favor. Notably, this match, played at M15 Karuizawa, saw Uchida secure a win in a tightly contested three-set final. Another point worth noting is the average quality of opponents each player has faced over the last year, which is relatively comparable, with Uchida's opponents averaging a rank of 418.44, closely matched by Fukuda's at 414.76.

Given the accumulated data, Uchida appears to possess slight, yet crucial advantages in pivotal areas, such as previous head-to-head results and second serve reliability. Although Fukuda displays strength in return games and break point conversion, these factors may not be enough to tip the scales in their favor. Therefore, Uchida is the predicted winner for this upcoming match based on these comparative statistics.